Nitrogen+Syngas 397 Sep-Oct 2025
16 September 2025
Ammonia prices in both hemispheres had levelled out by the end of August, with the exception of a few marginal upticks in some regions on the basis of the latest supply-demand dynamics. All eyes are now on September’s Tampa settlement, which should spell out the extent of the upside pressure set to emerge over the coming weeks.
The sulphuric acid market is seeing a contraction due to lack of sulphur availability, demand destruction in the phosphate sector and restricted Chinese exports.
Ambitious expansion plans face exposure to trade route disruption.
• The global sulphur market outlook is flat to soft in the near term: most
Most key sulphur import markets remained stagnant in late August due to weak demand. A premium is being paid for cargoes with guaranteed delivery schedules, driven by ongoing logistical risks in the Middle East. This has firmed prices in North America and Indonesia, but the potential return of supply from Russia and Kazakhstan may add some downward pressure.
The scale up of low carbon hydrogen has proved slower, more selective and more geographically concentrated than the ambitious plans announced earlier in the decade had anticipated.